Durability & shutdown risk
Our deepest conviction: once the shooting math is settled, fantasy leagues are won and lost on games played. This board is the risk side of that ledger — who's likely to miss time, and who's a candidate to be shut down when his NBA team starts playing for the lottery.
~3 min read· updated July 14, 2026Open durability →
Read the risk board
- Start with the flagged list
By default the board shows flagged players only, sorted worst-first: High risk, then Monitor. Untick 'Show flagged players only' to browse everyone by our rank — useful when you're checking one specific player.
- Read the columns
Avail = his recent share of team games played. Exp GP = the games we project next season — the same number the projections board's draft value uses. Durability reads recent availability against age, survivorship-corrected. Shutdown flags late-season tank/rest risk from his NBA team's standing.
- Use it at the two decision points
Draft day: a High risk flag is why a player's draft value sits below his per-game value — decide if the discount pays you enough. Trade deadline: a high Shutdown flag on a lottery team is a sell signal before the sitting starts.
- Rookies don't appear — durability needs a played history to read.
- The board's expected-games logic is explained player by player — a flagged player's view line on the projections board carries the reasoning.