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Player profile · 2026-27 projection

Aaron Nesmith

IND·SF/SGRank #170 · Round 15Medium confidence
Age
27
Height
6'5"
Weight
215 lb
Experience
6 yrs
Total value · G-score
-2.28

Ignore his worst category (assists) and he's worth -1.34.

Our view

The per-game line earns the rank — 13.3 points, 2.3 threes, 81% at the line on a 28-minute role. Games are the whole debate: two straight 45-game years drag our number down to the mid-50s, but those misses came in blocks, not chronic soreness, so a full season is the live upside case. We'd rather draft that uncertainty here than pay for wings with cleaner histories and worse lines.

Aaron Nesmith enters 2026-27 at #170 on our board — Round 15 value in a standard 12-team draft, projected for 13.3 points, 4.1 rebounds and 1.8 assists in 28.5 minutes a night. The value is built on turnovers and threes, with assists the soft spot in the profile. He's a natural fit for punt-assists builds — take that category out of the equation and his value climbs. Availability is the swing factor — we expect about 54 games, which is priced into his draft value.

Projected per-game line
GP
54
DRAFT VAL
-0.58
MPG
28.5
PTS
13.3
REB
4.1
AST
1.8
STL
0.7
BLK
0.5
3PM
2.3
FG%
42.9%
FT%
81.3%
TOV
1.2

GP = expected games this season (availability model + analyst judgment), not last year's total. DRAFT VAL = draft-day value (round/window-paced), used for draft decisions. MPG = projected minutes per game.

SeasonValueG-scoreGPProjected per-game statsCategory value · G-score
MPGPTSREBASTSTLBLK3PMFGMFG%FTMFT%TOUSG%PTSREBASTSTLBLK3PMFG%FT%TO
2026-27projected-2.285428.513.34.11.80.70.52.34.542.9%1.981.3%1.218.4%-0.58-0.63-0.94-0.54-0.280.47-0.530.060.69
Where the value comes fromG-score
TO+0.69
3PM+0.47
FT%+0.06
BLK-0.28
FG%-0.53
STL-0.54
PTS-0.58
REB-0.63
AST-0.94
helps you costs you· bars sum to the value
Usage trend
1420-21
1721-22
1722-23
1623-24
1824-25
2025-26
1826-27

Share of team plays a player uses while on the floor. The highlighted bar is our 2026-27 projection.

Career — by season (per-game)
SeasonValueG-scoreGPPer-game statsCategory value · G-score
MPGPTSREBASTSTLBLK3PMFGMFG%FTMFT%TOUSG%PTSREBASTSTLBLK3PMFG%FT%TO
2020-21BOS-5.284614.54.72.80.50.30.20.91.743.8%0.578.6%0.513.7%-1.68-1.00-1.25-1.02-0.67-0.68-0.14-0.021.19
2021-22BOS-6.125211.03.81.70.40.40.10.61.439.6%0.480.8%0.617.3%-1.75-1.36-1.30-0.87-0.83-0.86-0.230.011.07
2022-23IND-2.647324.910.13.81.30.80.51.63.542.7%1.683.8%1.016.9%-0.94-0.68-1.06-0.26-0.18-0.07-0.450.130.87
2023-24IND-1.507227.712.23.81.50.90.71.94.449.6%1.578.1%0.916.1%-0.67-0.71-1.01-0.10-0.030.120.07-0.080.92
2024-25IND-1.584524.912.04.01.20.80.41.94.350.7%1.691.3%0.817.6%-0.70-0.62-1.14-0.38-0.420.060.210.391.02
2025-26IND-2.464529.713.84.21.90.60.52.34.741.4%2.182.9%1.419.9%-0.48-0.60-0.84-0.66-0.260.48-0.750.140.52

Each season's category value is shaded against that season's player pool — the same heatmap as the rankings board.

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Quick answers

What round should I draft Aaron Nesmith in 2026-27 fantasy basketball?

Our board has Aaron Nesmith at #170 overall — Round 15 value in a standard 12-team draft. That already weighs expected games (about 54), not just the per-game line.

Is Aaron Nesmith a good fantasy basketball pick?

Mostly in deep leagues — he projects as a deep-league or streaming option at #170, helping most in turnovers and threes, with assists the main cost.

How many games will Aaron Nesmith play in 2026-27?

We project about 54 games — an expected-games estimate from our availability model plus analyst judgment, rather than a repeat of last season's total.

Put it to work: see what Aaron Nesmith does for your roster in the trade analyzer, check where the market drafts him with market edge, or brush up with our draft guide.

See where Aaron Nesmith ranks against every player in the full 2026-27 board.