Marvin Bagley III
- Age
- 28
- Height
- 6'10"
- Weight
- 235 lb
- Experience
- 8 yrs
Ignore his worst category (assists) and he's worth -2.22.
A 59.5% field goal with 5.5 boards in under 19 minutes — the efficiency is genuinely elite for the price. But there's nothing else: no threes, minimal stocks, a 67% foul line. Punt-FT% FG-anchor depth, strictly.
Marvin Bagley III enters 2026-27 at #246 on our board — Round 21 value in a standard 12-team draft, projected for 9.6 points, 5.5 rebounds and 1.3 assists in 18.6 minutes a night. The value is built on turnovers and field-goal percentage, with assists the soft spot in the profile. He's a natural fit for punt-assists builds — take that category out of the equation and his value climbs. Availability is the swing factor — we expect about 48 games, which is priced into his draft value.
GP = expected games this season (availability model + analyst judgment), not last year's total. DRAFT VAL = draft-day value (round/window-paced), used for draft decisions. MPG = projected minutes per game.
| Season | ValueG-score | GP | Projected per-game stats | Category value · G-score | ||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MPG | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | 3PM | FGM | FG% | FTM | FT% | TO | USG% | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | 3PM | FG% | FT% | TO | |||
| 2026-27projected | -3.38 | 48 | 18.6 | 9.6 | 5.5 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 3.9 | 59.5% | 1.5 | 67.3% | 0.9 | 19.1% | -1.15 | -0.13 | -1.16 | -0.86 | -0.10 | -1.11 | 0.68 | -0.55 | 1.00 |
Share of team plays a player uses while on the floor. The highlighted bar is our 2026-27 projection.
| Season | ValueG-score | GP | Per-game stats | Category value · G-score | ||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MPG | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | 3PM | FGM | FG% | FTM | FT% | TO | USG% | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | 3PM | FG% | FT% | TO | |||
| 2018-19SAC | -1.87 | 62 | 25.3 | 14.9 | 7.6 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 5.8 | 50.4% | 2.9 | 69.1% | 1.6 | 24.3% | -0.12 | 0.44 | -1.01 | -0.74 | 0.45 | -0.74 | 0.31 | -0.70 | 0.24 |
| 2019-20SAC | -1.84 | 13 | 25.7 | 14.2 | 7.5 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 6.0 | 46.7% | 1.9 | 80.6% | 1.4 | 26.0% | -0.27 | 0.46 | -1.09 | -0.71 | 0.32 | -1.00 | -0.07 | 0.06 | 0.48 |
| 2020-21SAC | -3.21 | 43 | 25.9 | 14.1 | 7.4 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 5.8 | 50.4% | 1.8 | 57.5% | 1.4 | 23.4% | -0.36 | 0.52 | -1.05 | -0.73 | -0.24 | -0.68 | 0.27 | -1.34 | 0.41 |
| 2021-22DET | -2.93 | 48 | 23.9 | 11.3 | 7.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 4.7 | 50.4% | 1.4 | 66.3% | 0.8 | 19.8% | -0.70 | 0.36 | -1.15 | -0.72 | -0.39 | -0.94 | 0.26 | -0.56 | 0.91 |
| 2022-23DET | -2.35 | 42 | 23.6 | 12.0 | 6.4 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 4.8 | 52.9% | 1.9 | 75.0% | 1.1 | 20.7% | -0.69 | 0.19 | -1.22 | -0.68 | 0.11 | -0.89 | 0.31 | -0.25 | 0.78 |
| 2023-24WAS | -2.74 | 50 | 21.1 | 11.7 | 6.2 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 4.8 | 58.6% | 1.9 | 76.2% | 1.2 | 20.8% | -0.74 | 0.08 | -1.17 | -0.85 | -0.03 | -1.19 | 0.72 | -0.20 | 0.64 |
| 2024-25MEM | -6.08 | 31 | 8.6 | 4.4 | 2.7 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 51.9% | 0.7 | 65.7% | 0.4 | 20.4% | -1.77 | -1.04 | -1.47 | -1.10 | -0.56 | -1.33 | 0.12 | -0.30 | 1.37 |
| 2025-26DAL | -2.69 | 60 | 20.0 | 10.5 | 6.1 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 4.3 | 61.8% | 1.6 | 66.0% | 1.0 | 18.7% | -0.96 | 0.05 | -1.05 | -0.81 | 0.04 | -1.02 | 0.83 | -0.65 | 0.88 |
Each season's category value is shaded against that season's player pool — the same heatmap as the rankings board.
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What round should I draft Marvin Bagley III in 2026-27 fantasy basketball?
Our board has Marvin Bagley III at #246 overall — Round 21 value in a standard 12-team draft. That already weighs expected games (about 48), not just the per-game line.
Is Marvin Bagley III a good fantasy basketball pick?
Mostly in deep leagues — he projects as a deep-league or streaming option at #246, helping most in turnovers and field-goal percentage, with assists the main cost.
How many games will Marvin Bagley III play in 2026-27?
We project about 48 games — an expected-games estimate from our availability model plus analyst judgment, rather than a repeat of last season's total.
Put it to work: see what Marvin Bagley III does for your roster in the trade analyzer, check where the market drafts him with market edge, or brush up with our draft guide.
See where Marvin Bagley III ranks against every player in the full 2026-27 board.