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Player profile · 2026-27 projection

Ace Bailey

UTA·PF/SF/SGRank #140 · Round 12Medium confidence
Age
20
Height
6'9"
Weight
200 lb
Experience
1 yr
Total value · G-score
-1.73

Ignore his worst category (assists) and he's worth -0.96.

Our view

The post-All-Star surge (18+ a night) is the tell — Utah cleared the runway and the second-year scoring leap is coming. He's a volume scorer first, so watch the efficiency, but this is a breakout we'll happily draft ahead of consensus.

Ace Bailey enters 2026-27 at #140 on our board — Round 12 value in a standard 12-team draft, projected for 15.2 points, 4.7 rebounds and 2.2 assists in 28.8 minutes a night. The value is built on turnovers and threes, with assists the soft spot in the profile. He's a natural fit for punt-assists builds — take that category out of the equation and his value climbs. Availability helps the case: we project about 69 games.

Projected per-game line
GP
69
DRAFT VAL
-0.29
MPG
28.8
PTS
15.2
REB
4.7
AST
2.2
STL
0.9
BLK
0.7
3PM
1.9
FG%
44.9%
FT%
75.7%
TOV
1.6

GP = expected games this season (availability model + analyst judgment), not last year's total. DRAFT VAL = draft-day value (round/window-paced), used for draft decisions. MPG = projected minutes per game.

SeasonValueG-scoreGPProjected per-game statsCategory value · G-score
MPGPTSREBASTSTLBLK3PMFGMFG%FTMFT%TOUSG%PTSREBASTSTLBLK3PMFG%FT%TO
2026-27projected-1.736928.815.24.72.20.90.71.95.844.9%1.675.7%1.619.9%-0.28-0.43-0.76-0.210.050.15-0.41-0.170.34
Where the value comes fromG-score
TO+0.34
3PM+0.15
BLK+0.05
FT%-0.17
STL-0.21
PTS-0.28
FG%-0.41
REB-0.43
AST-0.76
helps you costs you· bars sum to the value
Usage trend
2225-26
2026-27

Share of team plays a player uses while on the floor. The highlighted bar is our 2026-27 projection.

Career — by season (per-game)
SeasonValueG-scoreGPPer-game statsCategory value · G-score
MPGPTSREBASTSTLBLK3PMFGMFG%FTMFT%TOUSG%PTSREBASTSTLBLK3PMFG%FT%TO
2025-26UTA-2.317227.613.84.21.80.80.71.95.544.3%0.975.0%1.521.5%-0.48-0.60-0.89-0.370.040.17-0.49-0.110.42

Each season's category value is shaded against that season's player pool — the same heatmap as the rankings board.

Ranked nearby
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Quick answers

What round should I draft Ace Bailey in 2026-27 fantasy basketball?

Our board has Ace Bailey at #140 overall — Round 12 value in a standard 12-team draft. That already weighs expected games (about 69), not just the per-game line.

Is Ace Bailey a good fantasy basketball pick?

In the right build — he projects as a late-round value at #140, helping most in turnovers and threes, with assists the main cost.

How many games will Ace Bailey play in 2026-27?

We project about 69 games — an expected-games estimate from our availability model plus analyst judgment, rather than a repeat of last season's total.

Put it to work: see what Ace Bailey does for your roster in the trade analyzer, check where the market drafts him with market edge, or brush up with our draft guide.

See where Ace Bailey ranks against every player in the full 2026-27 board.